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UK Retail Briefing - April 2013

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • M&S
      • Food up, clothing down
        • But just how bad is that performance in General merchandise?
          • Putting it in perspective
            • Figure 1: UK clothing retailers, sales per square metre, 2011/12
          • And how serious is it?
            • Great underlying strength
            • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

              • Key points
                • Retail sales trends
                  • Figure 2: Retail sales trends, 2012-13
                • BRC data for February
                  • Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2011-13
                • John Lewis
                  • Figure 4: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
                • Inflation and wages
                  • Figure 5: RPI vs Average Weekly earnings growth, 2008-13
                • Inflation
                  • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2012-13
                • Looking forward
                • Sector Focus – Furniture, Floorcoverings and DIY Retailing

                    • The consumer: Hints of recovery
                      • Figure 7: The consumer: Percentage of consumers stating that extra money is spent on Furniture/home improvements/décor, January 2011-March 2013
                      • Figure 8: The consumer: Trends in spending money on the home (new kitchen, redecorate, new furniture etc), June 2012-March 2013
                      • Figure 9: The consumer: Net positive confidence measure, July 2011-March 2013
                    • Spending and retail sales: Patchy growth returns
                      • Figure 10: Consumer spending (incl. VAT), 2008-12
                      • Figure 11: Retail sales (incl. VAT), 2008-12
                    • But specialists losing share of spending
                      • Figure 12: DIY/furniture/floorcovering specialists sector sales as % of consumer spending on home categories*, 2008-12
                    • Leading specialists
                      • Outlook: Big-ticket prospects uncertain
                        • Figure 13: Factors impacting home goods categories
                        • Figure 14: Outlook for home goods categories
                    • Headlines for the Month

                      • Co-ops
                        • Convenience stores
                          • Grocers
                            • Clothing retailing
                              • Mixed goods retailing
                                • Multi-sector retailing
                                  • DIY retailing
                                    • Electrical retailing
                                      • Music and video goods retailing
                                        • Opticians
                                          • Economy
                                          • News Analysis

                                            • Co-ops
                                              • Co-operative Food
                                                • …invests £6.5 million in fast payment initiative
                                                  • …offers customers healthier options
                                                    • …sees profits decline across food business
                                                      • Convenience stores
                                                        • Aldi opens first UK convenience store
                                                          • Costcutter collaborates with Palmer & Harvey
                                                            • John Lewis to trial 'Little Waitrose at John Lewis'
                                                              • McColl’s refinances debt early as it looks to expand
                                                                • Morrisons adds 200,000 sq. ft. of retail space
                                                                  • One Stop trials franchise model
                                                                    • Hermes and One Stop collaborate for parcel collection service
                                                                      • Sainsbury’s expands London convenience stores
                                                                        • Superquinn reports growth ahead of market expectations
                                                                          • Waitrose expands London convenience arm
                                                                            • Grocers
                                                                              • Asda
                                                                                • …in talks to buy HMV
                                                                                  • …launches new clothing brand
                                                                                    • …to launch grocery range aimed at children
                                                                                      • Morrisons
                                                                                        • …announces Invesco as largest shareholder
                                                                                          • …launch Nutmeg children’s clothing range
                                                                                            • …puts 700 jobs at risk with cash-handling technology
                                                                                              • …confirms it will launch online food store
                                                                                                • Sainsbury’s
                                                                                                  • …online director role expanded to spur digital growth
                                                                                                    • …share schemes earns staff a net of £23 million
                                                                                                      • …full-year sales rise 1.8%
                                                                                                        • SuperValu hit €2.1 billion in sales in 2012
                                                                                                          • Tesco
                                                                                                            • …acquires Giraffe restaurant chain for £48.6 million
                                                                                                              • …faces £1 billion bill to leave US
                                                                                                                • …halts Soil & Seed vegetable box scheme
                                                                                                                  • …launches Price Promise
                                                                                                                    • …looks to sell Fresh & Easy chain in US
                                                                                                                      • …market share remains below 30%
                                                                                                                        • …partners with BBC Worldwide
                                                                                                                          • … considers online expansion in China
                                                                                                                            • Waitrose
                                                                                                                              • …hires senior Ocado executive
                                                                                                                                • …to unveil gardening and floristry online and in-store
                                                                                                                                  • Other food specialists
                                                                                                                                    • Thorntons adjusts pre-tax profits expectations
                                                                                                                                      • Off-licences
                                                                                                                                        • Majestic Wine to make website more personal
                                                                                                                                          • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                                            • Ann Summers seeks prime locations
                                                                                                                                              • Arcadia Group
                                                                                                                                                • …to launch series of apps
                                                                                                                                                  • …hires former Amex digital boss
                                                                                                                                                    • Bank appoints new head of womenswear
                                                                                                                                                      • Bench looks at possible sale
                                                                                                                                                        • Cambridge Satchel Company drives expansion with new appointments
                                                                                                                                                          • Crew Clothing posts increase in revenue
                                                                                                                                                            • French Connection falls into the red
                                                                                                                                                              • H&M sales fall 3% in February
                                                                                                                                                                • Jacques Vert
                                                                                                                                                                  • …axes jobs
                                                                                                                                                                    • …hires ex-Disney MD
                                                                                                                                                                      • Jaeger
                                                                                                                                                                        • …launches space for emerging talent
                                                                                                                                                                          • …chairman Stewart Binnie leaves
                                                                                                                                                                            • Monsoon Accessorize reported £4 million loss
                                                                                                                                                                              • Moss Bros posts full-year results
                                                                                                                                                                                • Mulberry issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                                                                  • Next sees full-year profits rise 9%
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Phase Eight opens new concept store
                                                                                                                                                                                      • River Island launches menswear brands online
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Ted Baker reveals strong full-year performance
                                                                                                                                                                                          • Turnbull & Asser appoints managing director
                                                                                                                                                                                            • Urban Outfitters sales increased by 13% in 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Dr Martens pushes retail business
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Jones Bootmaker plans to open Brussels store
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Kurt Geiger to sell through Nordstrom
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Mascotte to open first UK store
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Shoon to acquire Jane Shilton's footwear brand
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • B&M Bargains sees profits soar 42%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • The Original Factory Shop relaunches womenswear
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Wilkinson multichannel boss to exit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Home Retail Group sees sales rise on back of tablet sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Laura Ashley
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …demands 10% back from suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …profits rise by 9.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • M&S
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …reportedly expecting further decline in clothing sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …to unveil poor fourth quarter results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …shares on 28-month high after Qatar takeover rumours
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …introduces ‘click & collect’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …targeted by Qatari takeover
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Beale reports lower sales, improved gross margin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …delays payments to suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …poaches Argos multichannel boss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …aims to boost market share in menswear with Patrick Grant
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …strengthens ‘Designers at Debenhams’ portfolio
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Fortnum & Mason: new CEO lets go of two directors
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …to open more Click & Collect stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …like-for-like sales up 4.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • John Lewis demands rebate from suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Homebase launches customer insight strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Kingfisher’s profits plunge by 11%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Screwfix appoints new CEO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Topps Tiles forecasts lower profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • BrightHouse creates new exec roles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Jessops
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …collapsed under £81m debt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …reopens six stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Blockbuster
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …bought by restructuring firm Gordon Brothers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …to expand into music retail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • HMV
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …and Blockbuster owed £490 million in debts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …set to be rescued
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DFS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …refinances after strong first half
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …shows confidence in Irish retail market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Cath Kidston opens concessions in Spanish department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Dunelm posts third quarter results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Asos
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …hires in Birmingham for global growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …sales increase by 37% in second quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • eBay rebrands price comparison site Shopping.com
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Findel to report 8.3% sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …announces new bonus scheme
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …posts 14.4% sales increase in first quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …shares boosted from talks with Morrisons
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Occa Furniture appoints former Bestbuy exec to board
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Boots launches Shapers ready meals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Staples hires Portugal boss for UK multichannel strategy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Waterstones to offer bonus material in books
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • WH Smith brings back DVDs after HMV failure
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • JD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …offers Cloggs staff voluntary redundancy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …Republic buying director heads to JD Sports
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sweaty Betty plots expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Charity shops
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Nectar offers points for giving to Oxfam
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Opticians
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Vision Express
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …focus on value sees profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …launches Heston Blumenthal range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Go Outdoors will create 150 jobs as it opens three new stores.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Halfords
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …appoints new retail director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …group commercial director steps down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …sales helped by cold weather
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Mamas & Papas unveils rebrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Pets at Home acquires veterinary practice chain
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Timpson plans 100 more stores at supermarkets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Jewellery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Swarovski to launch new fascia Cadenza at Westfield Stratford
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shopping centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • One Direction pop-up shop to open
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Trinity Leeds shopping centre brings new offering to city
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 4G to up retail spend by £1.8 billion a year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • BDO: like-for-like sales declined in March
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • BRC:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …fashion sales stall due to cold weather
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …footfall up in February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …shop price inflation rise on the rise again
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Retail sales bounce back in February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Scottish retail sales continue to see growth

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    UK Retail Briefing - April 2013

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