UK Retail Briefing - December 2015
This review looks at:
- Monthly Retail sales trends, 2014-15
- Electricals monthly retail sales, 2014-15
- Annual % change in the price of electrical goods, 2015
- Annual % change in online sales of household goods, 2014-15
- Dixons Carphone group like-for-like performance, 2014-15
- Impact of Black Friday and its implications
- News analysis - November- December
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Table of contents
Analyst Comment
- Black Friday and its implications
- What happened
- Understanding electricals
- What does that mean in spending power?
- Online
- Amazon
- So farewell then Black Friday
- And time to be more optimistic about December
- Black Friday and its implications
Retail Sales – Background and Outlook
- Key points
- Retail sales trends
- Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2014/15
- Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2013-15
- John Lewis
- Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, 2014-15
- Inflation and wages
- Figure 4: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2010-15
- Inflation
- Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2014-15
- Looking forward
- Key points
Sector Focus – Electricals Retailing
- The market in 2015
- Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the value of retail sales in the electrical household appliances and computers & telecoms equipment categories, non-seasonally adjusted, Jan 2014-Nov-2015
- Inflation
- Figure 7: Annual percentage change in the price of electrical goods categories, Jan-Nov 2015
- Black Friday 2015
- Figure 8: Annual percentage change in online sales in household goods stores, Jan 2014-Nov-2015
- Dixons Carphone: exceeding expectations
- What we think
Headlines for the Month
- Black Friday
- Convenience stores
- Grocers
- Clothing retailers
- Multi-sector retailing
- Home shopping
- DIY retailing
- Electrical retailing
- Sports goods retailing
- Black Friday
New Analysis – Food and Drink
- Convenience stores
- UK: A.F. Blakemore benefits from strong convenience sector
- UK: Booker announces board changes
- UK: McColl’s sales grow 3.1% in 2015
- UK: Nisa
- …chairman fails to push through a governance reform
- …suffers £10.5m loss
- UK: One Stop's profits tumble £11.1m
- UK: Roadchef opens second Spar motorway store
- UK: Simply Fresh targets railways and underground stations
- Grocers
- UK: Aldi and Lidl plan 171 store openings
- UK: Asda
- …calls time on Black Friday promotions
- …launches third-party click-and-collect
- …like-for-like sales fall 4.5%
- …‘best decision’ was shunning Black Friday
- UK: Lidl unveils first UK 'store of the future'
- UK: Ocado reports double-digit Q4 growth
- UK: Sainsbury’s
- …like-for-like sales fall 1.6%
- …proposes gym within supermarket
- UK: Tesco
- …Extra stores to open at 5am on Black Friday
- …participates in Diwali celebrations
- …promotes Christmas ranges with largest in-store tasting campaign
- …to pay $12m to US investors
- UK: Waitrose appoints head of hospitality
- Other food specialists
- UK: Conviviality group revenues climb 38%
- UK: Holland & Barrett hires celebrity brand ambassador
- UK: Majestic Wine profits fall following Naked Wines acquisition
- UK: Whittard of Chelsea seeks to meet demand in China
- Convenience stores
News Analysis – Non-food
- Clothing and footwear retailing
- UK: AnnaLena Couture chooses Fulham for first UK store
- UK: Arcadia like-for-like sales fall 0.9%
- UK: Asda’s George refocuses on the customer
- UK: Bonmarché revenues rise 6.5%
- UK: Burberry
- …delivers ‘robust’ performance
- …lets customers star in a personalised Christmas advert
- UK: Finery London pops up in London
- UK: French Connection to close seven stores
- UK: Jaeger sales grow 6% in 2014
- UK: Jigsaw
- …full-price strategy is paying off
- …sales rise 18.5% to £104.9m
- UK: Karen Millen makes a £9.7m loss
- UK: Mothercare halves UK losses
- UK: Mulberry grows revenues by 5% in the first half
- UK: New Look revenues rise 5.9%
- UK: Oasis turns a profit for the first time in three years
- UK: Reiss extends personal tailoring service
- UK: River Island
- …founders invest in Mint Velvet
- …introduces click-and-don’t-collect service
- UK: Superdry’s Idris Elba collection to launch this week
- UK: Ted Baker sales rise as international expansion continues
- UK: The White Company doubles full-year profits
- UK: Whistles falls into a £1.1m loss
- Footwear and accessories retailing
- UK: Cinven poised to take over Kurt Geiger
- UK: Dune full-year sales rise 7.2%
- UK: Office
- …eyed by South African retailer
- …sold to Truworths for £256m
- UK: Radley repositions itself to push British roots
- Jewellery retailing
- UK: Argento embarks on a major investment programme
- UK: Lovisa to open a handful of stores before Easter
- UK: Pandora UK revenues surge 50.5%
- Multi-sector retailing
- UK: B&M like-for-like revenues rise 1.2%
- UK: Cath Kidston’s losses widen to £14.2m
- UK: Poundland
- …like-for-like sales fall 2.8%
- …to trial multi-price format
- UK: Poundworld gains £50m funding for investment
- Department stores
- UK: Fortnum & Mason announce record sales and profits
- UK: Harrods gears up for Christmas
- UK: House of Fraser
- …creates shoppable windows for Black Friday
- …reports rising Q3 sales
- UK: John Lewis
- …fashion sales rise as cold weather hits
- …to anchor new Edinburgh development
- UK: Selfridges to launch new Body Studio
- DIY retailing
- UK: Dobbies sales grow 7.7% in 2014
- UK: Kingfisher
- …implements new IT platform
- …profits suffer from ‘softer market’ in France
- UK: Leroy Merlin considers Homebase takeover
- UK: Topps Tiles revenues rise 8.7%
- Electrical retailing
- UK: Ikea
- …drives double-digit annual growth
- …eyes Bhs’ Oxford Street unit
- UK: ScS trading in line with expectations
- Home shopping
- UK: Amazon launches Pantry in the UK
- UK: Black Friday boosts online sales
- UK: Findel’s profits remain flat
- UK: Made.com launches online mattress retailer
- UK: New over-50s menswear brand launches
- UK: Ocado reports double-digit Q4 growth
- UK: Shop Direct call centre closures to go ahead
- UK: SportPursuit raises £9.5m in funding
- Sports and leisure goods retailing
- UK: Cotswold Outdoor and Snow & Rock merge
- UK: Halfords
- …profits down 5.9%
- …unveils new ‘For Life’s Journey’ strapline
- UK: JD Sports ups full year profit forecast
- UK: Mountain Warehouse launches women’s activewear brand
- UK: Sports Direct sales and profits up in the first half
- Greetings card retailers
- UK: Card Factory sales grow 7.9%
- Pet retailing
- UK: Pets at Home revenues grow by 6.0%
- Economy
- UK: November shop prices fall 2.1% year-on-year
- UK: Retail sales edge up 0.8% in October
- UK: Retail sales grow 0.7% in November
- UK: Retail sales slow to 0.9% in October
- Clothing and footwear retailing
UK Retail Briefing - December 2015