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UK Retail Briefing - December 2017

This month's UK Retail briefing includes:

  • An Analyst comment a Retail Review for 2017 and prospects looking ahead
  • On overview of the latest UK Retail sales.
  • Sector Focus - Online Retailing - UK.
  • Highlights of the latest UK Retail trend observations
  • Monthly UK retail news headlines and analysis

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • 2017, looking back, looking forward
      • Worsening economic background
        • Growing focus on C-stores
          • Homewares
            • Clothing
              • Online
                • Looking forward
                • Retail Sales

                  • Key points
                    • Retail sales
                      • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2016/17
                      • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, Nov 2015-Nov 2017
                    • John Lewis
                      • Figure 3: John Lewis: year-on-year growth, Nov 2016-Dec 2017
                    • Rising inflation
                      • Figure 4: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2016-17
                    • Inflation and wages
                      • Figure 5: Real wages growth: wages growth vs inflation, 2014-17
                    • Looking forward
                    • Sector Focus – Online Retailing

                        • Online growth accelerated in 2016 and the trend has continued in 2017
                          • Figure 6: All online retail sales, annual growth by month, non-seasonally adjusted, Aug 2016-Nov 2017
                        • November 2017 hits record new average weekly sales highs…
                          • Figure 7: All online retail sales, average weekly sales, non-seasonally adjusted, Aug 2016-Nov 2017
                        • …and November 2017 also sets new highs for share of spending
                          • Figure 8: Online sales as a proportion of all retailing (ex-fuel), by month, non-seasonally adjusted, Aug 2016-Nov 2017
                        • Online and Black Friday
                          • Figure 9: Black Friday purchasing 2016, by electricals and non-electricals, December 2016
                          • Figure 10: Attitudes to promotions and pricing online, May 2017
                      • Innovation and Launch Activity

                        • Tesco launches pet-friendly ‘Pawsecco’
                          • Aldi launches Christmas jumpers for dogs
                            • Sainsbury’s sets up record label
                              • Amazon to open pop-up Black Friday shop
                                • Sainsbury's trials pizza delivery service
                                  • MMUK to open first men’s makeup store in UK
                                    • Hotel Chocolat to create beauty line
                                      • Mountain Warehouse founder launches new retail concept
                                      • Headlines for the Month

                                        • Co-ops
                                          • Convenience stores
                                            • Grocers
                                              • Off-licences
                                                • Clothing retailing
                                                  • Shopping centres
                                                    • Mixed goods retailing
                                                      • DIY retailing
                                                        • Furniture retailing
                                                          • Sports & leisure goods retailing
                                                          • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                            • Co-ops
                                                              • UK: Co-op
                                                                • …and Iceland back bottle deposit return scheme
                                                                  • …strikes deal with Costcutter
                                                                    • …East of England Co-op sells food after ‘best before’ date
                                                                      • …Nisa members approve takeover by Co-op
                                                                        • Convenience stores
                                                                          • UK: McColl’s achieves revenues of £1bn
                                                                            • UK: Nisa to supply McColls after P&H collapse
                                                                              • UK: Palmer & Harvey goes into administration
                                                                                • Grocers
                                                                                  • UK: Asda
                                                                                    • …800 staff face pay cut or redundancy
                                                                                      • …reports 1.1% rise in sales for third quarter
                                                                                        • …rolls out vegan mince pies
                                                                                          • UK: Booths to be sold following ‘tough trading’
                                                                                            • UK: Morrisons store in Leeds opens bar for shoppers
                                                                                              • UK: Sainsbury's
                                                                                                • Enters partnership with Zizzi
                                                                                                  • …launches instore coffee bar
                                                                                                    • UK: Tesco
                                                                                                      • …£3.7 billion Booker takeover deal given provisional approval
                                                                                                        • …expands vegetarian and vegan Christmas offers
                                                                                                          • UK: Waitrose
                                                                                                            • …expands click-and-collect service
                                                                                                              • …launches brussel sprouts wreath
                                                                                                                • Off-licences
                                                                                                                  • UK: Majestic Wine H1 revenue up 5.7%
                                                                                                                  • News Analysis – Clothing and Footwear

                                                                                                                    • UK: Aquascutum reports decline in sales and profits
                                                                                                                      • UK: Bonmarche posts rise in revenue and profit
                                                                                                                        • UK: Canada Goose opens London flagship store
                                                                                                                          • UK: Edinburgh Woollen Mill Group profits fall 5.9%
                                                                                                                            • UK: Foschini reportedly eyeing Jigsaw takeover
                                                                                                                              • UK: Mulberry retail sales up 2% for H1
                                                                                                                                • UK: Next
                                                                                                                                  • …participates in Black Friday for first time
                                                                                                                                    • …to open shops in Tesco stores
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Quiz posts strong growth in H1 results
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Sales up at Ted Baker, despite ‘challenging conditions’ on the high street
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Vivienne Westwood annual profits plummet
                                                                                                                                            • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Shoon goes into administration
                                                                                                                                              • News Analysis – Mixed Goods

                                                                                                                                                • UK: Argos starts Black Friday three hours early
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: B&M revenues up 21.7%
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Mountain Warehouse founder launches new retail concept
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Poundland to start selling mattresses
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Poundstretcher turnover falls 7.5%
                                                                                                                                                        • News Analysis – Multi-Sector

                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Mothercare losses increases despite rise in sales
                                                                                                                                                            • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Fortnum & Mason sales grow 14%
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Harrods
                                                                                                                                                                  • …CFO resigns
                                                                                                                                                                    • …to undergo major revamp
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: John Lewis experiences strong Black Friday
                                                                                                                                                                      • News Analysis – Home and Household Goods

                                                                                                                                                                        • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Homebase to phase out bee-harming pesticides
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Kingfisher like-for-like sales down 0.5%
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Topps Tiles profits fall 15.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: BrightHouse reaches £220 million restructuring deal
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Dixons Carphone starts longest Black Friday sale yet
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: GAME
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …to trial THREE instore concessions
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …digital sales fall 2.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …to sell Multiplay Digital for £19 million
                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Maplin
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …partners with tech repair specialist iSmash
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …sales up 0.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: DFS and Sofology merger given go-ahead by CMA
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Feather & Black goes into administration
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Furniture Village profits fall 31%
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: IKEA sales increase by 5.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Multiyork goes into administration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: SCS has positive first quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • News Analysis – Online

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …introduces Amazon Prime Villages
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …meal kits to hit UK shelves
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: AO revenues rise 13.3% in H1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: ASOS expands same-day delivery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: eve Sleep revenues rise 130%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Farfetch revenues grow but losses increase
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Mamas & Papas introduces new online store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: MMUK to open first men’s makeup store in UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Moonpig appoints Peter Donlon as CTO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Plans for buses to be used to make deliveries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: UPS to use power-assisted bike trailer for last-mile deliveries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • News Analysis – Other Sectors

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Health & beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: JML launches cosmetics range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Card Factory sales up 6.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Ellesse opens first store in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Go Outdoors sales rise 5.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Mountain Warehouse profits up by 18%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Patagonia to re-enter the UK high street
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: The Entertainer launches joint entry into Malta
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Toys R Us prepares to close 25 stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Pets and pet products retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Pets at Home profits decline by 11.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Shopping centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Westfield Croydon shopping centre given go-ahead
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Designer outlet centre confirmed for West Midlands
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Hammerson and Intu to merge in a £3.4 billion deal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • News Analysis – Economy

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Black Friday Analyst Comment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …footfall down to lowest level since 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …retail sales up 1.5% in November
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …shop price deflation at four year low
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Retail sales suffer volume decline, but rise in value according to ONS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        UK Retail Briefing - December 2017

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