UK Retail Briefing - February 2014
Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on the clothing and footwear retail sector.
This sector focus includes:
- Consumers' Christmas clothes shopping habits as well as extracts from Mintel’s exclusive monthly Consumer Tracker survey on spending habits, January 2014.
- The impact of inflation, January 2013-December 2013
- Market share of the major clothing retailers.
- Comparison of major clothing retailers Christmas performance.
We also include Analyst's Comments on the dynamic’s between online and offline retailing, a review of UK retail sales performance, and monthly headlines and retail news analysis for the UK.
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Table of contents
Analyst Comment
- Online vs Stores
- The dynamics of retailing
- Stores
- Store sales – prospects
- Figure 1: Online and store sales of multi-channel retailers, 2012-18
- Historical perspective
- An artificial distinction
- Online vs Stores
Retail Sales – Background and Outlook
- Key points
- Retail sales trends
- Figure 2: Retail sales trends, 2013-14
- BRC data for January
- Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2012-14
- John Lewis
- Figure 4: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
- Inflation and wages
- Figure 5: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2008-14
- Inflation
- Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2013-14
- Looking forward
- Key points
Sector Focus – Clothing and Footwear
- Key points
- Mintel’s Tracker: Demand for personal adornment falling
- Figure 7: The consumer: Proportion agreeing that spare money is spent on jewellery/clothing/personal items, February 2013-January 2014
- Figure 8: The consumer: Proportion agreeing that spare money is spent on jewellery/clothing/personal items, by selected age group, February 2013, July 2013 and January 2014
- Figure 9: The consumer: Proportion agreeing that spare money is spent on jewellery/clothing/personal items, by region, February 2013, July 2013 and January 2014
- Clothing inflation prompts strong spending in 2013
- Figure 10: Consumer spending (incl. VAT), 2009-14
- Figure 11: Consumer prices index: Annual % change, selected categories, January-December 2013
- M&S’s market leadership under threat
- Figure 12: Market shares: The ten biggest clothing retailers, 2012
- Figure 13: Projected revenues based on estimated 2013 sales growth: Marks & Spencer and Next, 2012-16
- Christmas 2013
- Figure 14: Major clothing retailers’ trading performance, Christmas 2013
Headlines for the Month
- Food retailers
- Specialist food retailers
- Off-licences
- Clothing retailing
- Footwear retailing
- Department stores
- DIY retailing
- Electrical retailing
- Furniture retailing
- Home shopping
- Health and beauty retailing
- Sports and leisure goods retailing
- Economy
- Food retailers
News Analysis – Food and Drink
- Bakers
- Greggs cuts staff after sales growth
- Co-ops
- Co-op
- …begins flash sale of food essentials
- …launches 2014 saving stamps campaign
- Convenience stores
- McColl’s
- …reports strong Christmas sales
- …flotation confirmed
- One Stop completes refurbishment of Alfred Jones
- Grocers
- Asda
- …accused of raising prices before January rollback
- …believed to be lining up bid for Early Learning Centre
- …to push George brand into homewares
- Fortnum & Mason reports strong festive sales
- Lidl
- …looking for new, larger UK headquarters
- …trialling self-checkouts in the UK
- Morrisons
- …online executive quits after weeks in the role
- …treasurer arrested for insider deal
- Sainsbury’s announces departure of CEO
- Tesco
- …and Waitrose to open tube station collection points
- …reportedly sizes up bid for Mothercare
- Specialist food retailers
- Thorntons posts Q2 sales rise
- Hotel Chocolat revives stake sale process
- Off-licences
- Conviviality Retail first half like-for-likes up
- Bakers
News Analysis – Non-food
- Clothing retailing
- Blue Inc
- …Christmas sales rise
- …considering flotation on stock market
- Bonmarche posts positive like-for-likes
- Burberry
- …appoints BSkyB CEO as Non-executive Director
- …Christmas sales driven by online
- Fat Face
- …positive after Christmas trading
- …preparing for stock market flotation
- H&M produces flat revenues
- Jaeger reports Christmas sales jump
- Karen Millen like-for-likes rise over Christmas
- Laura Ashley pays shareholder dividend
- Matalan sales up as EBITDA falls
- Monsoon Accessorize posts pre-tax profit for 2013
- Moss Bros set to beat profit forecast
- Primark Christmas sales up 12%
- Reiss produces turnaround Christmas figures
- SuperGroup announces sales are on “on track”
- Topshop to launch stores in New York
- White Stuff enjoys successful Christmas
- Footwear retailing
- Shoe Zone claims value retailers can profit online
- Electra to buy shoe chain Hotter
- Mixed goods retailing
- KPMG resigned as Poundworld auditor due to "misleading" results
- Poundworld to partner etailer Poundshop.com
- Multi-sector retailing
- Argos
- …to encourage app downloads with in-store NFC
- …and Homebase put pressure on suppliers
- Home Retail Group
- …releases Interim Management Statement
- …reportedly to name Walden as new CEO
- Marks & Spencer
- …hires Inditex employees to boost overseas trade
- …prepares for Australian launch
- Department stores
- House of Fraser
- …pushing for listing
- …to roll out queue-beating technology
- John Lewis
- …sees strong Christmas and New Year sales growth
- …to sponsor Commonwealth Games
- …bans angora wool
- …reports strong weekly sales
- …sees full year sales rise
- Selfridges Christmas sales soar
- DIY retailing
- B&Q hires former Matalan boss
- Topps Tiles opens boutique store
- Electrical retailing
- BC considers potential float of Phones4U
- Carphone Warehouse like-for-likes climb over Christmas
- Dixons reports on “lively” Christmas
- Music and video goods retailing
- Game
- …sees like-for-likes rocket at Christmas
- …enter courtroom battle with UK’s largest landlord consortium
- HMV closes Oxford Street flagship
- Carpet retailing
- Carpetright issues profit warning
- United Carpets and Floors 2 Go change prices after OFT probe
- Furniture retailing
- DFS and B&M advance flotation plans
- Endless plots sale of Bathstore
- IKEA
- …announces sales growth
- …sales surge
- Home shopping
- Able & Cole sees sales rise
- Amazon to deliver on Sundays
- Ao.com
- …announces flotation plans
- …seeks £1.2 billion IPO valuation
- Asos sees Christmas sales surge
- Findel to deliver “strong profit growth”
- MandM Direct experiences late sales surge
- Mothercare signs up to eBay partnership
- My-Wardrobe hires new recruits as part of turnaround programme.
- N Brown sees revenues rise
- Ocado
- …post pre-tax loss for 2013
- …sales rise over the fourth-quarter
- Sales growth slows for Amazon UK
- Shop Direct posts Christmas sales rise
- Health and beauty retailing
- Superdrug
- …considers UK headquarters to support London IPO
- …sees rise in like-for-likes over Christmas
- The Perfume Shop announces strong Christmas trading
- Book and stationery retailing
- Foyles like-for-likes edge up
- Waterstones reduces full-year losses
- WHSmith
- …extends contract with distribution company
- …like-for-likes down but profit solid
- Sports and leisure goods retailing
- Adidas to open digital store in Bluewater
- JD Sports
- …records improvement in like-for-likes
- …to launch value chain Open
- Sports Direct
- …acquires stake in Debenhams
- …and Debenhams meet to explore option
- …stake in Debenhams
- Garden centres
- L-Gam acquires Jardiland
- Toys and games retailing
- Mothercare in talks to sell Early Learning Centre
- Miscellaneous specialist retailing
- Albemarle & Bond calls off sale
- Alfred Dunhill owner forced to inject cash into business
- Halfords sales up 7%
- Economy
- BRC
- …sales monitor shows "respectable" Christmas trading
- …key export markets show huge growth in UK retailer searches
- …UK retailers cut prices for ninth consecutive month
- ONS confirms strong retail growth in December
- Shop vacancies at lowest level for four years
- The City gives green light to retailer IPO’s
UK Retail Briefing - February 2014