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UK Retail Briefing - January 2014

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on food retailing and we look in particular at the Christmas shopping period.

This sector focus includes:

  • Consumers' Christmas food shopping habits as well as extracts from Mintel’s exclusive monthly Consumer Tracker survey on food shopping habits, October 2013.
  • The impact of inflation, January 2013-December 2013.
  • Year-on-year growth of food retailers' sales, January 2013-December 2013.
  • Comparison of major grocers' Christmas performance.

We also include Analyst's Comments on major retailers' pre-Christmas performances and the hard discounters, a review of UK retail sales performance, and monthly headlines and retail news analysis for the UK.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • The ruthless consumer
      • It was a good Christmas
        • Figure 1: Winners and losers: Clothing and department stores, Christmas 2013
      • Food retailers
        • Online
          • Where next?
            • Hard discounters – getting them in proportion
              • How big are they?
                • Figure 2: Top 10 food retailers, 2012-13
              • Why have they been doing so well?
                • Not just low price
                  • And what will happen in an upturn?
                  • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                    • Key points
                      • Retail sales trends
                        • Figure 3: Retail sales trends, 2013
                      • BRC data for November
                        • Figure 4: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2012-13
                      • John Lewis
                        • Figure 5: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2012-13
                      • Inflation and wages
                        • Figure 6: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2008-13
                      • Inflation
                        • Figure 7: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2013
                      • Looking forward
                      • Sector Focus – Food Retailing

                          • Key points
                            • Shoppers switched to value retailers at Christmas 2013
                              • Figure 8: The consumer: Christmas grocery shopping habits, January 2013
                            • But Tracker survey shows fewer shoppers cutting back
                              • Figure 9: The consumer: Grocery shopping habits, December 2012-October 2013
                            • Lower inflation hits value growth at grocers
                              • Figure 10: Consumer prices index: Annual % change, January-December 2013
                              • Figure 11: Consumer prices index: Annual % change, detailed food categories, January-December 2013
                            • Sector sales slow in Q4 2013
                              • Figure 12: Food retailers’ sales: Year-on-year growth, January-December 2013
                              • Figure 13: Food retailers’ sales: Real-terms year-on-year growth, October-December 2013
                            • Major grocers’ Christmas performance
                                • Figure 14: Major grocers’ Christmas-period 2013 trading results, year-on-year growth
                            • Headlines for the Month

                              • Co-ops
                                • Grocers
                                  • Off-licences
                                    • Clothing retailing
                                      • Footwear retailing
                                        • Mixed goods retailing
                                          • Multi-sector retailing
                                            • Department stores
                                              • Electrical retailing
                                                • Carpet retailing
                                                  • Health and beauty retailing
                                                    • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                      • Economy
                                                      • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                        • Bakers
                                                          • Greggs cuts staff after sales growth
                                                            • Co-ops
                                                              • Co-operative Food reports strong Christmas performance
                                                                • Convenience stores
                                                                  • Nisa Retail reports strong Christmas sales
                                                                    • Grocers
                                                                      • Asda trials new format
                                                                        • Booths
                                                                          • …introduces brand price-matching scheme
                                                                            • …reports best ever festive trading
                                                                              • Morrisons
                                                                                • …employee arrested for insider trading
                                                                                  • …like-for-likes fall
                                                                                    • … launches online shopping
                                                                                      • Over half the country shops at Aldi and Lidl
                                                                                        • Sainsbury’s
                                                                                          • …blames tough sales environment for flat like-for-likes
                                                                                            • …Freefrom food range sees boost in pre-Christmas sales
                                                                                              • …to stop selling DVDs
                                                                                                • Tesco
                                                                                                  • …launches healthy living brand
                                                                                                    • …acquires Lazada
                                                                                                      • …glitch locks NatWest and RBS credit cards
                                                                                                        • …reports a fall in like-for-likes over Christmas
                                                                                                          • …to launch current account
                                                                                                            • …to test Indian market
                                                                                                              • Waitrose
                                                                                                                • …predicts South American food boom
                                                                                                                  • …records strong Christmas trading figures
                                                                                                                    • …sales up as customers search for interesting Christmas food
                                                                                                                      • Off-licences
                                                                                                                        • Majestic Wine reveals strong Christmas figures
                                                                                                                          • Other food specialists
                                                                                                                            • Holland & Barrett increase store openings
                                                                                                                            • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                                              • Clothing retailing
                                                                                                                                • Edinburgh Woollen Mill appoints new managing director of Peacocks
                                                                                                                                  • Fat Face
                                                                                                                                    • …eyes potential flotation
                                                                                                                                      • …positive after Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                        • Jigsaw reports strong Christmas trading figures
                                                                                                                                          • Joules opens store at Gatwick airport
                                                                                                                                            • Karen Millen profits decline
                                                                                                                                              • London pub set to become shopping and catering space
                                                                                                                                                • Moss Bros witnesses “encouraging” sales
                                                                                                                                                  • New Look receives Christmas boost to like-for-likes
                                                                                                                                                    • Next raises forecasts on the back of bumper Christmas
                                                                                                                                                      • Paul Smith sees profits fall
                                                                                                                                                        • Retailers increase discounts in last-minute push before Christmas
                                                                                                                                                          • SuperGroup records strong progress
                                                                                                                                                            • Ted Baker reports solid Christmas figures
                                                                                                                                                              • TK Maxx accused of misleading customers
                                                                                                                                                                • TM Lewin starts international push
                                                                                                                                                                  • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                                                    • Barratts
                                                                                                                                                                      • …receives £5m rescue offer from Pavers
                                                                                                                                                                        • …remaining Barratts stores closed
                                                                                                                                                                          • Mixed goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                            • Poundstretcher falls to £3.7m loss
                                                                                                                                                                              • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                • Argos digital stores hit by technical glitches
                                                                                                                                                                                  • M&S
                                                                                                                                                                                    • …outlook gloomy
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …extends discounts on clothing after poor Christmas sales
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …reports disappointing third quarter
                                                                                                                                                                                          • …to make toy packaging gender neutral
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …member of staff refuses alcohol sale
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                • Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …chief financial officer resigns
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …demand discounts from suppliers
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …posts disappointing interim management statement
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Galeries Lafayette in talks to buy House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • …records best ever Christmas results
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • …to appoint advisers for IPO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …reports record sales figures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …sees Christmas sales hit £734 million
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …posts pre-Christmas figures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …sees strong Christmas and New Year sales growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …trials mobile point-of-sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Stacey Cartwright moves to Harvey Nichols
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Topps Tiles sees first quarter sales jump
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Dixons Retail profits surge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Maplin opens airport store following strong Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Furniture shops
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • CSL rebrands as Sofaworks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • HMV to close Islington flagship
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Carpetright profits and sales fall in first-half
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Dunelm TV campaign boosts Q2 sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Betta Living unveils virtual store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • N Brown to open 20 new stores
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shop Direct hires Sarah Curran
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Lush beats high-street Christmas slump
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • The Fragrance Shop launches TV marketing campaign
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Foyles like-for-likes edge up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Golden goodbye for Kate Swann
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • The Works reports record breaking Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Ryman Group reports strong Christmas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Adidas to cut independent accounts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • JD Sports records improvement in like-for-likes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Sports Direct first-half profits soar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Miscellaneous specialist retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Mamas & Papas sees full year profits rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Mothercare issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Shopping centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Bluewater debuts midnight shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • BRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …footfall monitor shows decline
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …sales monitor shows "respectable" Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • ONS: Positive November retail sales

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          UK Retail Briefing - January 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          US $2,552.20 (Excl.Tax)