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UK Retail Briefing - January 2016

This review looks at:
  • Sainsbury's potential purchase of Argos
  • The recent trading update from M&S.Monthly Retail sales trends, 2014-15
  • Real wages growth vs inflation 2010-2015
  • Food retailers Christmas performance, 2015
  • Annual percentage change in the price of food and non-alcoholic beverages and alcoholic beverages and tobacco, Jan 2014- Dec 2015
  • Retail sales: Annual % change in value and sales in food stores, by operation, Dec 2014-Dec 2015
  • Online retail sales: Annual % change in the value of online sales through food stores, Jan 2015-Dec 2015
  • News analysis - December 2015 - January 2016

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comments

      • Sainsbury’s and Home Retail
        • Big deals – Bad news
          • Argos’ trading style
            • Misfit
              • Marks & Spencer – Mixed fortunes
                • Great performance in food
                  • Problems in general merchandise
                    • Figure 1: M&S – Share of spending on clothing and footwear, 2010-15
                  • Successor
                    • Challenges
                      • An opportunity with younger customers
                      • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                        • Key points
                          • Retail sales
                            • Figure 2: Retail sales trends, 2014/15
                            • Figure 3: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2013-15
                          • John Lewis
                            • Figure 4: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2014-15
                          • Inflation and wages
                            • Figure 5: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2010-15
                          • Inflation
                            • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2014-15
                          • Looking forward
                          • Sector Focus – Food Retailing

                              • Retail sales performance: Christmas
                                • Figure 7: Retail sales: Annual % change in value and volume sales in all food stores, non-seasonally adjusted, Jan 2014-Dec 2015
                              • Prices: A bargain Christmas
                                • Figure 8: Annual percentage change in the price of food and non-alcoholic beverages and alcoholic beverages and tobacco, Jan 2014-Dec 2015
                              • A good month for specialists
                                • Figure 9: Retail sales: Annual % change in value and sales in food stores, by operation, Dec 2014-Dec 2015
                              • Online
                                • Figure 10: Online retail sales: Annual % change in the value of online sales through food stores, Jan 2015-Dec 2015
                              • So how have the grocers performed?
                                • Figure 11: Food retailers: Christmas performance, 2015
                              • Where next?
                              • Headlines for the Month

                                • Grocers
                                  • Other food and drink specialists
                                    • Clothing retailers
                                      • Multi-sector retailing
                                        • Department stores
                                          • Electricals retailing
                                            • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                              • Economy
                                              • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                • UK: Mintel's Christmas message
                                                  • And 2016?
                                                    • And then?
                                                      • Convenience stores
                                                        • UK: Spar grows store estate by 8% in six months
                                                          • Grocers
                                                            • UK: Aldi to open 80 new stores in 2016
                                                              • UK: Asda introduces ‘Go-Getters for Forgetters’
                                                                • UK: Booth reports strong growth in Christmas orders
                                                                  • UK: Sainsbury's
                                                                    • …grows ahead of the grocery market
                                                                      • …makes bid for Home Retail Group
                                                                        • UK: Tesco
                                                                          • …to introduce charge for small click-and-collect orders
                                                                            • …to offer dog pampering in larger stores
                                                                              • UK: Waitrose plans 14 new supermarkets in 2016
                                                                                • Other food and drink specialists
                                                                                  • UK: Majestic Wine sees sales grow 12.2% during the Christmas period
                                                                                    • UK: Berry Bros & Rudd sees losses double
                                                                                    • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                      • Clothing retailing
                                                                                        • UK: Arcadia continues to roll out Outfit fascia
                                                                                          • UK: Barbour reduces core range
                                                                                            • UK: Blue Inc to close a quarter of its shops
                                                                                              • UK: Bonmarché announces Beth Butterwick departure
                                                                                                • UK: Boux Avenue delivers strong growth for Theo Paphitis Retail Group
                                                                                                  • UK: Burberry
                                                                                                    • …celebrates the Lunar New Year on WeChat
                                                                                                      • …releases interactive 3D scarf advert
                                                                                                        • UK: Jaegar owner halts sale
                                                                                                          • UK: Jigsaw reports a record-breaking Christmas
                                                                                                            • UK: Joules eyes IPO
                                                                                                              • UK: Kurt Geiger bought out by Cinven
                                                                                                                • UK: Mamas & Papas returns to profit
                                                                                                                  • UK: Mulberry grows revenues by 5% in the first half
                                                                                                                    • UK: Next sales increase just 0.4% prior to Christmas
                                                                                                                      • UK: River Island to introduce a plus-size range
                                                                                                                        • UK: SuperGroup revenues surge 22.3%
                                                                                                                          • UK: Ted Baker buys The Ugly Brown Building
                                                                                                                            • UK: Topshop partners with Appear Here to provide pop-up concessions
                                                                                                                              • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                • UK: Brantano’s new owners put the business under review
                                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Marks and Spencer
                                                                                                                                      • …opens first store in Beijing
                                                                                                                                        • …UK like-for-like sales fall 2.5%
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Poundland third quarter revenues grow 29.4%
                                                                                                                                            • Department stores
                                                                                                                                              • UK: BHS appoints chief financial officer
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Debenhams in talks with former Kingfisher boss
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Harvey Nichols profits tumble 29.7%
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: House of Fraser reports rising Q3 sales
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                        • …has a strong week for electricals
                                                                                                                                                          • …invests £500m in online business
                                                                                                                                                            • …sales grow 4.1% over the Christmas period
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Selfridges launches Bright New Things campaign
                                                                                                                                                                • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Topps Tiles Q1 sales rise 4.4%
                                                                                                                                                                    • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Dixons Carphone
                                                                                                                                                                        • …first-half sales up 5%
                                                                                                                                                                          • …to launch a tech emergency service
                                                                                                                                                                            • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Carpetright delivers “significant growth” in profits
                                                                                                                                                                                • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Amazon to lease aircraft in a bid to launch air-delivery service
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Atterley stops trading as it enters administration
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Matalan Direct hires buying director
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Moonpig innovates with augmented reality
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ocado reports double-digit Q4 growth
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: PrettyLittleThing full-year sales reach £30m
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Habitat adapts website for mobile shoppers
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Concerns raised over LloydsPharmacy’s bid for Sainsbury’s division
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Holland & Barrett
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …eyes potential £1bn sale
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …plans to double sales to £1bn
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: The Fragrance Shop sales boosted by luxury brand demand
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Sports Direct sales and profits up in the first half
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Music, video and game retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Foyles reports strong Christmas trading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Game’s sales fall 6.7% as demand for consoles declines
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Shopping locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Birmingham Bullring owner eyes bid for Grand Central
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Signet Jewelers’ UK sales rise 4.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Retail sales rise 2.0% in November

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  UK Retail Briefing - January 2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  US $377.39 (Excl.Tax)