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UK Retail Briefing - January 2017

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month, we look at Food retailing.

This review looks at:

  • Annual % change in the value of Food retailers, 2015-16
  • Impact of Brext on inflation
  • Annual percentage change in the price of Food and non-alcoholic beverages, April-Dec 2016
  • Annual percentage change in the volume sales of food retailers, detailed breakdown, Nov 2015- Dec16
  • Online sales as a percentage of all food retail sales, Nov 2014 – Dec 2016
  • Like-for-like sales performance of the major grocers over the Christmas period, 2016

We also include an Analyst Comment on Christmas 2017 the story so far.


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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • Christmas 2017 – The story so far
      • The big themes
        • Retail sales in December
          • Discounting
            • Trust
              • Food retailers
                • Who’s best placed for 2017?
                • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

                  • Key points
                    • Retail sales
                        • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2015/16
                        • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, Nov 2015-Dec 2016
                      • John Lewis
                        • Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, Dec 2015-Jan 2017
                      • Inflation and wages
                        • Figure 4: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, 2010-16
                      • Inflation
                        • Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2015-16
                      • Looking forward
                      • Sector Focus – Food Retailing

                          • Christmas: a surprisingly weak end to the year for the specialists
                            • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the value sales of food retailers, Nov 2015-Dec16
                            • Figure 7: Annual percentage change in the value sales of food retailers, detailed breakdown, Nov 2015-Dec 16
                          • Inflation: Brexit starting to have an effect
                            • Figure 8: Annual percentage change in the price of food and non-alcoholic beverages, Apr-Dec 2016
                          • Volume growth continues to be strong
                            • Figure 9: Annual non-seasonally adjusted percentage change in the volume of goods sold in food stores, Nov 2015-Dec 2016
                            • Figure 10: Annual percentage change in the volume sales of food retailers, detailed breakdown, Nov 2015-Dec 16
                          • Online: takes a record December share
                            • Figure 11: online sales as a percentage of all food retail sales, Nov 2014-Dec 2016
                          • How did they perform over Christmas?
                              • Figure 12: Like-for-like sales performance of the major grocers over the Christmas period, 2016
                          • Headlines for the Month

                            • Grocers
                              • Clothing retailers
                                • Multi-sector retailing
                                  • Electrical retailing
                                    • Home shopping
                                      • Economy
                                      • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                        • Convenience retailers
                                          • UK: McColl’s gets the go ahead for Co-op store acquisition
                                            • UK: Nisa sees fresh food drive Christmas
                                              • UK: The Co-op to invest £15m in rewards
                                                • Grocers
                                                  • UK: Aldi
                                                    • …growth boosted by premium ranges
                                                      • …Specially Selected range sales lift by 25%
                                                        • UK: Asda launches 20p Christmas dinner offers
                                                          • UK: EasyFoodstore considers further shops
                                                            • UK: Lidl to build new London head office
                                                              • UK: Morrisons announces new price cuts
                                                                • UK: Waitrose unveils new format with The Kitchen
                                                                • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                  • Clothing retailing
                                                                    • UK: Boux Avenue leads growth for the Paphitis Group
                                                                      • UK: Fat Face to trial store closures on Boxing Day
                                                                        • UK: Jigsaw sales rise 10% over Christmas
                                                                          • UK: Mamas & Papas Christmas sales up 11%
                                                                            • UK: Next 4th quarter sales decline 0.4%
                                                                              • UK: Oui plans expansion into the UK
                                                                                • UK: Philip Plein opens first UK store
                                                                                  • UK: River Island launches men's activewear range
                                                                                    • UK: Topshop to launch in China
                                                                                      • Footwear retailing
                                                                                        • UK: Adidas launches 3D printed trainer range
                                                                                          • UK: Dr Marten's to open 100 new stores over five years
                                                                                            • UK: Russell & Bromley sales down 4.9%
                                                                                              • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                • UK: B&M reports strong Christmas trading
                                                                                                  • UK: Poundland to add clothing to assortment
                                                                                                    • Department stores
                                                                                                      • UK: Debenhams launches athleisure range
                                                                                                        • UK: Debenhams set to reduce designer partnerships
                                                                                                          • UK: Harvey Nichols profits halve following refurbishments
                                                                                                            • UK: House of Fraser opens first standalone store in China
                                                                                                              • UK: John Lewis Partnership
                                                                                                                • …see sales fall 10.8% post-Christmas
                                                                                                                  • …sales fall 0.6% in week 20
                                                                                                                    • UK: Selfridges sales driven by events and tourist spend
                                                                                                                      • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                        • UK: Screwfix plans new warehouse to support growth
                                                                                                                          • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                            • UK: Dixons Carphone delivers 19% profit growth
                                                                                                                              • UK: Maplin
                                                                                                                                • …ramps up content with Amplience partnership
                                                                                                                                  • …sees drones fly off the shelves
                                                                                                                                    • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Carpetright sales fall 3.8%
                                                                                                                                        • UK: United Carpets like-for-like sales rise 2.1%
                                                                                                                                          • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Dreams launches new store concept
                                                                                                                                              • UK: Fabb Sofas to open four stores prior to Boxing Day
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Oak Furniture Land eyes sale to fund US growth
                                                                                                                                                  • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Asos to double UK-manufactured product
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Gear4Music sales rise 55%
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Missguided
                                                                                                                                                          • …founder launches new menswear line on Asos
                                                                                                                                                            • …to open second store
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: The White Company reports another record year
                                                                                                                                                                • Health and beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Dermalogica installs digital signs across estate
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Luxury brands drive sales at The Fragrance Shop
                                                                                                                                                                      • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Typo opens first UK store
                                                                                                                                                                          • Video and gaming retailers
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Game unveils new gaming areas in-store
                                                                                                                                                                              • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Mountain Warehouse boosted by international sales
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Sports Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                    • …sells Dunlop brand for $112m
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …to sell off more brands in upmarket push
                                                                                                                                                                                        • Shopping locations
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Ards footfall boosted by new retail and leisure space
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Footfall down over Christmas and New Year
                                                                                                                                                                                              • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Government declines appeal to ban store openings on Boxing Day
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Retail footfall declines in November despite Black Friday
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Retail sales rise 6.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Shop prices fall 1.4% in December

                                                                                                                                                                                                      UK Retail Briefing - January 2017

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