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UK Retail Briefing - March 2019

This month's UK Retail briefing includes:

  • An Analyst comment - M&S and Ocado joining forces
  • An overview of the latest UK Retail sales.
  • Sector Focus - Food retailing - UK.
  • Highlights of the latest UK Retail trend observations
  • Monthly UK retail news headlines and analysis

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment – Ocado and M&S join forces

    • Ocado’s eventful start to 2019…
      • The deal
        • Where does it leave Waitrose?
          • What it means for M&S and Ocado
            • What it means for the sector
            • UK Retail Sales

              • Key points
                • Retail sales
                    • Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2018/19
                  • BRC vs ONS
                    • Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, February 2017- February 2019
                  • John Lewis
                    • Figure 3: John Lewis Department Stores: Year-on-Year Growth, Oct 2017- Mar 2019
                  • Inflation
                    • Figure 4: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2018-19
                  • Inflation and wages
                    • Figure 5: Real wages growth: Wages growth vs inflation, Jan 2016- Feb 2019
                  • Consumer confidence
                    • Figure 6: Mintel Financial confidence tracker, January 2016 – January 2019
                  • Looking forward
                  • Sector Focus – Food Retailing

                      • Value sales growth slows in the second half of 2018
                        • Figure 7: Annual non-seasonally adjusted percentage change in the value sales of food retailers at current prices, January 2018 - January 2019
                      • Food inflation down year-on-year in 2018
                        • Figure 8: Annual percentage change in the price of food and non-alcoholic beverages, January 2018 – January 2019
                      • Sales volume boosted by low sector inflation and real wage growth
                        • Figure 9: Annual non-seasonally adjusted percentage change in the chained volume of goods sold in food stores, Jan 2018 – Jan 2019
                      • Erratic online grocery sales growth in 2018
                        • Figure 10: Internet food sales: value non-seasonally adjusted percentage change YoY, Jan 2018 – Jan 2019
                      • Online food sales as a proportion of all food stores retail sales
                        • Figure 11: Internet food sales: value non-seasonally adjusted internet sales as a proportion of all food retailing Jan 2018 – Jan 2019
                      • Leading supermarkets Christmas sales performance
                      • Launch Activity and Innovations

                        • UK: Co-op launching first ever franchise stores
                          • UK: The Wardrobe Workshop to make bricks-&-mortar debut in Chelsea
                            • UK: M&S and Ocado announce joint venture
                            • Headlines for the Month

                              • Convenience stores
                                • Grocers
                                  • Specialist food & drink retailing
                                    • Clothing retailing
                                      • Footwear retailing
                                        • Department stores
                                          • Furniture retailing
                                            • Homewares retailing
                                              • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                • Economy
                                                • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                  • Convenience stores
                                                    • UK: McColl full year pre-tax profit declines due to supply chain issues
                                                      • Grocers
                                                        • UK: Aldi
                                                          • …opens £50 million warehouse in Kent
                                                            • …to scrap 5p plastic bags from all stores nationwide
                                                              • UK: Asda
                                                                • …records seventh consecutive quarter of sales growth
                                                                  • …to re-launch its in-store radio station
                                                                    • UK: Iceland
                                                                      • …Christmas sales fall
                                                                        • …eyes up Sainsbury’s and Asda stores ahead of proposed merger
                                                                          • UK: Sainsbury’s-Asda
                                                                            • …merger in doubt
                                                                              • …confirms deadline extension on Sainsburys-Asda probe
                                                                                • UK: Tesco swaps to Rainforest Alliance certified cocoa
                                                                                  • UK: Waitrose & Partners
                                                                                    • …partnership with Ocado to end September 2020
                                                                                      • …to potentially allow shoppers to pick their own fresh produce
                                                                                        • …using racing car technology to cut energy consumption in stores
                                                                                          • Specialist food & drink retailing
                                                                                            • UK: Greggs posts exceptionally strong start to 2019
                                                                                              • UK: Hotel Chocolat reports increase in first-half profits
                                                                                                • UK: Mike Ashley withdraws bid for Patisserie Valerie
                                                                                                • News Analysis – Clothing and Footwear

                                                                                                  • UK: Anya Hindmarch up for sale
                                                                                                    • UK: Asics forms new partnership with I:CO
                                                                                                      • UK: Baroness Brady stands down from position at Sir Philip Green's retail group
                                                                                                        • UK: Edinburgh Woollen Mill boss Philip Day eyeing up M&S stores
                                                                                                          • UK: F&F clothing range launched on Next website
                                                                                                            • UK: Jack Wills
                                                                                                              • …forms new partnership with independent coffee shop Bear
                                                                                                                • …swings to a full-year loss
                                                                                                                  • UK: MPs suggest tax on fashion to combat waste
                                                                                                                    • UK: New Look reports 0.9% increase in third quarter UK like-for-like sales
                                                                                                                      • UK: Primark moving over 200 UK roles to Dublin
                                                                                                                        • UK: Quiz issues profit warning
                                                                                                                          • UK: Superdry
                                                                                                                            • …chairman to stand down by year end
                                                                                                                              • …to cut jobs in cost-cutting plan
                                                                                                                                • UK: Ted Baker CEO resigns
                                                                                                                                  • Footwear retailing
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Clarks confirms closure of Somerset factory
                                                                                                                                      • UK: Dr.Martens investing £2 million into Northampton factory site
                                                                                                                                        • UK: LK Bennett
                                                                                                                                          • …drafts in advisors for strategic review
                                                                                                                                            • …prepares to call in administrators
                                                                                                                                              • …files for administration
                                                                                                                                                • UK: Office profits hit by House of Fraser collapse
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Treds rescued from administration
                                                                                                                                                  • News Analysis – Mixed Goods

                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Poundland to reinvent its culture and store proposition
                                                                                                                                                      • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                          • …issues new profits warning
                                                                                                                                                            • …obtains £40 million cash injection
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Harrods launches new luxury podcast
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: House of Fraser Belfast store safe from closure
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                    • …announces JLAB innovation short list
                                                                                                                                                                      • …underlying profits tumble 45.4%
                                                                                                                                                                        • …recognised as a "Disability Confident Leader"
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Selfridges pledges to phase out sale of exotic skins by 2020
                                                                                                                                                                          • News Analysis – Household Goods

                                                                                                                                                                            • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Wickes profits take a hit
                                                                                                                                                                                • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Raspberry Pi opens first physical store
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Better Bathrooms falls into administration
                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Hammonds ownership back in family hands
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: IKEA considering selling furniture on third-party websites
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Laura Ashley
                                                                                                                                                                                              • …confirms it has not received any takeover offers
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …warns full year profits will be below market expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Dunelm posts strong first half results
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Joe Browns expanding into homewares
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • News Analysis – Online

                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: ASOS Gen-Z label COLLUSION exceeds sales expectations
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: QVC announces partnership with social commerce specialist Curalate
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • News Analysis – Other Retail

                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Health & beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Boots
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …looks to cut HQ jobs as part of restructure
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …trials 10% student discount
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: The Fragrance Shop to open over 15 Sniff Bar sites
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Paperchase launches CVA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Findel rejects Sports Direct takeover
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Gymshark announces partnership with Klarna
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: JD Sports acquires an 8.3% stake in Footasylum
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Wyevale sells another two garden centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Jewellery and watches retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: TAG Heuer opening first standalone store
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Shopping centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Liverpool Shopping Park obtains planning approval for £30 million expansion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Westfield Croydon construction delayed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • News Analysis – Economy

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: BRC-KPMG: Retail sales dipped in February 2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: MPs propose online sales tax in bid to save the high street
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: UK retail sales bounce back in January
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Westminster Council gives go ahead for Oxford Street renovation

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      UK Retail Briefing - March 2019

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