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UK Retail Briefing - May 2015

Each month Mintel’s UK Retail Briefing concentrates on a particular sector or market. This month’s focus is on Food Retailing.

This sector focus looks at:

  • Retail sales of food
  • Impact of price deflation
  • Move away from superstores
  • Impact of Aldi & Lidl on the grocery mutiples
  • Price competition

We also include an Analyst's Comment looking at whether we think the online sector is coming of age.

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment

    • How the online market is coming of age
      • Electricals
        • Figure 1: Profile of online electricals buyers, 2012-14
      • Fashion
        • Figure 2: Profile of leading clothing retailers, by age and socio-economic group, instore and online, 2014
      • Food
        • Figure 3: Proportion of shoppers doing all or most of their food shopping online, 2011-15
      • Online shoppers spend less
        • Implications
        • Retail Sales – Background and Outlook

          • Key points
            • Retail sales trends
                • Figure 4: Retail sales trends, 2014/15
                • Figure 5: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2013-15
              • John Lewis
                • Figure 6: John Lewis: Year-on-Year Growth, 2014-15
              • Inflation and wages
                • Figure 7: The income squeeze: Wages growth vs inflation, 2009-15
              • Inflation
                • Figure 8: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2014-15
              • Looking forward
              • Sector Focus – Food Retailing

                  • The big four underperform:
                    • Deflationary food prices – driven by competition
                      • Figure 9: Consumer prices: Annual % change in the food and non-alcoholic beverages, April 2013- April 2015
                      • Figure 10: Retail sales: Annual % change in value and volume sales in food stores, March 2013-March 2015
                    • Superstores in decline
                      • Figure 11: Estimated share of all grocery retail sales by sector, 2009-15
                    • The impact of Aldi and Lidl
                      • Figure 12: Leading grocery retailers, annual % change in sales (ex-vat), 2010-14
                      • Figure 13: Market shares: The Big Four and The Discounters, 2009-14
                    • So how have the grocers been fighting back?
                    • Headlines for the Month

                      • Grocers
                        • Clothing retailing
                          • Multi-sector retailing
                            • Department stores
                              • DIY retailing
                                • Electrical retailing
                                  • Furniture and homeware retailing
                                    • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                      • Home shopping
                                        • Economy
                                        • News Analysis – Food & Drink

                                          • Co-ops (retail)
                                            • UK: Co-operative Food
                                              • …members press for election overhaul
                                                • …says it cannot enhance commitment to Fairtrade
                                                  • Convenience stores
                                                    • UK: One Stop opens two in-store Subway concessions
                                                      • Grocers
                                                        • UK: Morrisons
                                                          • …former boss receives £1m bonus
                                                            • …Q1 sales down 1.1%
                                                              • …to cut head office staff by a third
                                                                • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                  • …converting space to non-food
                                                                    • …gains Next’s former CFO
                                                                      • …reports first loss in ten years
                                                                        • …to cut 800 in-store jobs
                                                                          • UK: Supermarkets could face pricing probe
                                                                            • UK: Tesco
                                                                              • …appoints Master of Wine
                                                                                • …appoints new group brand director
                                                                                  • …expected to reveal new investment into pension scheme
                                                                                    • …rejects a bid for its South Korean assets
                                                                                      • …reports £6.4bn loss
                                                                                        • …takes over full ownership of the Euphorium bakery chain
                                                                                          • Other food specialists
                                                                                            • UK: Community Store announces plans to expand in the UK
                                                                                              • UK: Greggs sales grow 5.0% in Q1
                                                                                                • UK: Holland & Barret
                                                                                                  • …to open its first US stores
                                                                                                    • …opens first Free From store
                                                                                                      • UK: Majestic Wine acquires Naked Wines
                                                                                                        • UK: Thorntons reports ‘mixed’ performance for Q3
                                                                                                        • News Analysis – Non-food

                                                                                                          • Clothing and footwear retailing
                                                                                                            • UK: Bonmarché has challenging fourth quarter
                                                                                                              • UK: Burberry revenues rise 9% in the second half of the year.
                                                                                                                • UK: Charles Tyrwhitt sales jump 20%
                                                                                                                  • UK: Cuplé opens its first London store
                                                                                                                    • UK: French Connection warns on sales and financial performance
                                                                                                                      • UK: LK Bennett sales rise 4.4%
                                                                                                                        • UK: Monsoon Accessorize suffers sales and profit decline
                                                                                                                          • UK: N Brown sales flat on the year
                                                                                                                            • UK: New Look
                                                                                                                              • …in takeover talks
                                                                                                                                • …eyed by investors
                                                                                                                                  • UK: Next
                                                                                                                                    • …chief executive pledges to raise shopfloor wages
                                                                                                                                      • …sales up 4.1% in Q1
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Shoe Zone fails to meet market expectations
                                                                                                                                          • UK: Shoon
                                                                                                                                            • …bought out
                                                                                                                                              • …enters Company Voluntary Arrangement
                                                                                                                                                • UK: SuperGroup posts 16.7% retail growth
                                                                                                                                                  • Multi-sector retailing
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Laura Ashely sales and profits rise in 2014
                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Mothercare beginning to benefit from turnaround plan
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Poundland
                                                                                                                                                          • …sales reach £1bn
                                                                                                                                                            • …proposed purchase of 99p Store under scrutiny
                                                                                                                                                              • …purchase of 99p stores faces full investigation
                                                                                                                                                                • …brings forward review of 99p Stores deal
                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Poundworld unveils new ecommerce website
                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Tiger to open new store in Milton Keynes
                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Woolworths staff lose compensation battle
                                                                                                                                                                        • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: BHS to expand its food offering
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                              • …like-for-like sales rise 1.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                • …losses widen in Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Harrods taken over by Samsung
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …achieves ‘record sales
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …appoints Colin Elliot as new Financial Director
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Liberty owner shows interest in Ben Sherman
                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: John Lewis launches recruitment drive for 850 new roles
                                                                                                                                                                                              • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Travis Perkins consumer division reports sales growth of 8.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Electrical retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Apple revenues grow 27.2% in Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: BrightHouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …reveals new business practises
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …unveils ambitious growth plans
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Carphone Warehouse to launch new mobile network iD next week
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Maplin reports strongest sales growth in seven years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Phones4U creditors to receive 0.4p per pound owed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Furniture and homeware retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Carpetright sales grow 5.4% in Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Dunelm Chairman to stand down
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Ikea UK sees profits fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: ScS reports mixed Q3 results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Home shopping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Boden announces shoppable digital catalogue
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Boohoo sales soar 27% in 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Farfetch to use investment to drive growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Home Retail Group full-year sales edge up 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Hut Group announces 39% rise in sales
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: in funding talks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Mr Porter develops sportswear offering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Net-a-Porter announces new shoppable social network
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Ocado
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …launches Apple Watch grocery app
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …patents robots for picking and packing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: WH Smith high street sales suffer again
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Toy retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Hornby expects to post first profit in three years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Evans Cycles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …close to purchase
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …acquired by ECI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: JD Sports revenues climb 25%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • Pet goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Pets at Home sales grow 9.6% in 2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Like-for-like retail sales rise 3.2% in March
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Retail sales rise 4.1% in March

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK Retail Briefing - May 2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              US $377.39 (Excl.Tax)