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UK Retail Briefing - November 2018

This month's UK Retail briefing includes:

  • An Analyst comment on the opportunities for renting in the Fashion industry.
  • On overview of the latest UK Retail sales.
  • Sector Focus - Clothing and Footwear retailing - UK.
  • Highlights of the latest UK Retail trend observations
  • Monthly UK retail news headlines and analysis

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Table of contents

  1. Analyst Comment – Could Renting be the Future of the Fashion Industry?

      • What we've seen
        • Renting fashion becomes more mainstream
          • Figure 1: Westfield Style Trial Pop-Up, 2017
        • How often do people buy clothing?
          • Figure 2: Frequency of clothing purchases in the last 12 months, August 2017 and August 2018
        • Sentiment towards fashion rentals
          • Barriers to entry
            • What it means
            • UK Retail Sales

              • Key points
                • Retail sales
                  • Figure 3: Retail sales trends, 2017/18
                  • Figure 4: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, July 2016-September 2018
                • John Lewis
                  • Figure 5: John Lewis Department Stores: year-on-year growth, Aug 2017-Nov 2018
                • Inflation
                  • Figure 6: Annual percentage change in the consumer price index for selected product groups, 2016-17
                • Inflation and wages
                  • Figure 7: Real wages growth: wages growth vs inflation, Jan 2015-Jul 2018
                • Confidence
                  • Figure 8: Mintel financial confidence tracker, January 2016-September 2018
                • Looking forward
                • Sector Focus – Clothing and Footwear

                    • Footwear and clothing specialists underperforming
                      • Figure 9: Annual % change in value clothing and footwear retail sales, non-seasonally adjusted, by month, Jan 2017-Oct 2018
                      • Figure 10: Annual % change in volume clothing and footwear retail sales, non-seasonally adjusted, by month, Jan 2017-Oct 2018
                    • Inflation
                      • Figure 11: CPI: Annual % change in the price of clothing and footwear (incl. repairs), Jan 2017-Oct 2018
                    • Consumer spending slows down in 2018
                      • Figure 12: Consumer spending on clothing and footwear, at current prices, non-seasonally adjusted, Q1 2017-Q2 2018
                    • Customer loyalty is low
                        • Figure 13: Loyalty behaviours towards shopping for clothes, July 2017
                    • Launch Activity and Innovations

                      • UK: Sainsbury’s and Oasis planning concession partnership
                        • UK: M&S launches interactive sea map
                          • UK: M&S launches new Social Plastic reusable bag
                            • UK: John Lewis introducing after-hours private shopping service
                              • UK: Selfridges unveils new innovative menswear floor
                                • UK: IKEA launches first inner-city store in London
                                  • UK: Waterstones unveils new store concept
                                  • Headlines for the Month

                                    • Co-ops
                                      • Grocers
                                        • Clothing retailing
                                          • Mixed goods retailing
                                            • Multi-sector retailing
                                              • Department stores
                                                • DIY retailing
                                                  • Music and video goods retailing
                                                    • Furniture retailing
                                                    • News Analysis – Food and Drink

                                                      • Co-ops
                                                        • UK: Co-op
                                                          • …acquiring former Waitrose stores
                                                            • …new £45 million distribution centre to create 1,200 jobs
                                                              • Grocers
                                                                • UK: Asda staff shake-up could lead to 2,500 job cuts
                                                                  • UK: Booths narrows its losses
                                                                    • UK: M&S appoints new leadership team for food business
                                                                      • UK: Morrisons third quarter sales up but retail growth slows
                                                                        • UK: Percol unveils UK’s first plastic-free coffee packaging
                                                                          • UK: Sainsbury’s
                                                                            • …half year results boosted by Argos takeover
                                                                              • …CMA investigation into Sainsbury’s-Asda merger to factor in Aldi and Lidl’s impact
                                                                                • UK: Waitrose & Partners Food & Drink Report reveals latest trends
                                                                                • News Analysis – Clothing and Footwear

                                                                                  • UK: Burberry profits surge 36% despite sales drop
                                                                                    • UK: Coach the latest luxury house to ban the use of real fur
                                                                                      • UK: Coast bought out of administration by Karen Millen
                                                                                        • UK: Eleanor Tomlinson new brand ambassador for Radley London
                                                                                          • UK: End opens first London store in Soho
                                                                                            • UK: Fat Face appoints Oasis and Warehouse chief Liz Evans as new CEO
                                                                                              • UK: French Connection begins sale talks
                                                                                                • UK: Jaeger to triple store network by end of 2019
                                                                                                  • UK: John Smedley opens third UK standalone store
                                                                                                    • UK: Karen Millen puts 100 jobs at risk
                                                                                                      • UK: Mulberry sales hit by House of Fraser administration
                                                                                                        • UK: New Look
                                                                                                          • …could lose more UK stores
                                                                                                            • …exiting the Chinese market
                                                                                                              • …half year results show a return to profitability
                                                                                                                • UK: Next sales up 2% in Q3
                                                                                                                  • UK: Oasis and Warehouse hit by credit insurers move
                                                                                                                    • UK: Primark achieves strong full year performance in the UK
                                                                                                                      • UK: QUIZ opens flagship store at Liverpool ONE
                                                                                                                        • UK: Reiss profits drop 26%
                                                                                                                          • UK: Sandro opening a menswear flagship store on Regent Street
                                                                                                                            • UK: Seasalt reports 23% increase in full-year sales
                                                                                                                              • UK: Superdry
                                                                                                                                • …first half sales affected by summer heatwave
                                                                                                                                  • …issues profit warning
                                                                                                                                    • UK: Ted Baker launches first advertising campaign
                                                                                                                                      • UK: TK Maxx FY sales increase 11%
                                                                                                                                        • UK: Zara UK reports soaring profits
                                                                                                                                          • Footwear
                                                                                                                                            • UK: Footasylum
                                                                                                                                              • …experiences difficulty in second half trading
                                                                                                                                                • …credit insurance cut by numerous companies
                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Schuh profits fall 9.6%
                                                                                                                                                    • UK: Shoe Zone reports strong second half performance
                                                                                                                                                    • News Analysis – Mixed Goods

                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Home Bargains sales surpass £2 billion
                                                                                                                                                        • UK: The Range posts falling profits
                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Wilko swings to red
                                                                                                                                                            • Multi-sector
                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Halfords profits drop but sales rise in interim results
                                                                                                                                                                • UK: M&S
                                                                                                                                                                  • …appoints new leadership team for food business
                                                                                                                                                                    • …expected to report a double digit drop in profits in interim results
                                                                                                                                                                      • …interim results reveal a sales decline across both divisions
                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Mothercare cuts 200 jobs
                                                                                                                                                                          • Department stores
                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Debenhams
                                                                                                                                                                              • …to close up to 50 stores over the next three to five years
                                                                                                                                                                                • …to potentially close one third of its stores
                                                                                                                                                                                  • …retail and digital managing director resigns
                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: House of Fraser
                                                                                                                                                                                      • …buys Glasgow store to create ‘Harrods of the North’
                                                                                                                                                                                        • …closing iconic Manchester store
                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: John Lewis
                                                                                                                                                                                            • …JLAB innovation programmes launches retail experience challenge
                                                                                                                                                                                              • …announces ambitious plan for reducing HGV emissions
                                                                                                                                                                                                • …begins search for new Chairman
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …Cheltenham store opens today
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • News Analysis – Household Goods

                                                                                                                                                                                                    • DIY retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: B&Q pulling out of Black Friday
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: Homebase announces further store closures
                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Travis Perkins report solid trading for Q3 2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Music and video goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: HMV overtakes Amazon as UK’s biggest seller of physical music
                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Carpet retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Carpetright sales dented by CVA store closures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Furniture retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Bensons for Beds partners with sleep expert
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: IKEA UK sales boosted by store openings and digital growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: ScS Group to pull out of House of Fraser concessions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Homewares retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Dunelm posts flat quarterly revenue
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • News Analysis – Online

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Amazon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …launches Prime Wardrobe in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • …to create 1,000 technology jobs in three UK cities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • …to open fashion pop-up on Baker Street
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • UK: AO World to acquire Mobile Phones Direct
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Moonpig to open Manchester tech hub
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: Musclefood undergoes major rebrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: N Brown reports first-half losses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: Shop Direct planning to shut outlet arm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • UK: Sosandar expects to report 407% increase in half year revenue
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • News Analysis – Other Retail

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Health & beauty retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Boots fourth quarter sales fall
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Book and stationery retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Paperchase reports falling profits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: The Works reports 15% sales rise in first update since IPO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: WHSmith
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • …acquires InMotion for £155 million
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • …announce store closures following detailed review
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • Sports and leisure goods retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Sports Direct acquires Evans Cycles
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Jewellers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • UK: Claire’s stores under threat of closure
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • Shopping centres
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: Bond Street completes £10 million transformation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • UK: 02 Icon Outlet opens its doors
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Toys and games retailing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • UK: GAME narrows annual losses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • UK: Hamleys
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • …appoint new finance chief
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • …profits dive to £12 million loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • News Analysis – Economy

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • UK: October retail sales growth up just 0.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • UK: September retail sales up by 4.2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK Retail Briefing - November 2018

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