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Everything you need to make the right decisions

Providing the most comprehensive and up-to-date information and analysis of the The Natural/Organic Food Shopper market, its consumers and the major players who make up the market.

Mintel has the answers you’re looking for

  • What are the key challenges facing the industry?
  • Who is the consumer and what do they want?
  • Where are the opportunities, where are the risks and what lies ahead?

Market

Point of sale market data

In conjunction with IRi, extensive point of sale data shows you what consumers are spending their money on

Market Size

How big is the market today and what is our 5 year forecast? Includes both best & worst case scenarios

Market Segmentation

What are the different segments within the market and how are those individual segments performing?

Consumer

Consumer behaviors

What are consumers looking for, what drives their buying habits and what are their main purchase influencers?

Demographic breakdown

From iGen & Millennials to Baby Boomers & beyond. Who is spending money and what are they spending it on?

Representative sample

We gather our data from real-world consumers, selected to accurately reflect precise global demographics

Players

Company strategy

What are the key players doing, what has been successful for them and what was their marketing spend?

Product innovation

Using data from our Global New Product Database, what products were launched and how well were they perceived?

Opportunities

What happens next, which areas are likely to experience growth and what opportunities exist within the market?

Key points included

  • Consumer confusion may water down value of claims
  • Lack of regulation is a sore spot for natural claims
  • Mainstream supermarkets accommodate natural shoppers
  • Majority buy at least some natural/organic, could be persuaded to buy more
  • Private label offers gateway to organic loyalty
  • Sustainability concerns encourage organic growth

Covered in this report

It analyzes and offers insights into the attitudes, concerns and behaviors of those who purchase and/or consume foods and beverages labeled as organic and natural/all-natural.

Expert analysis from a specialist in the field

Written by Karen Formanski, a leading analyst in the Health & Wellness sector, her extensive knowledge delivers in-depth commentary and analysis to highlight current trends and add expert context to the numbers.

While the majority of consumers shop for a combination of mainstream and natural/organic foods and beverages, the segment that exclusively seeks natural and organic remains very small. Interest in organic products continues to resonate with certain demographics, specifically younger adults and parents, over othersKaren Formanski
Health & Wellness Analyst

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What's included

What's included

Table of contents

Table of contents

  1. Overview

    • What you need to know
      • Definition
      • Executive Summary

        • The issues
          • Natural Non-believers barrier to major growth
            • Figure 1: Segmentation by attitudes toward natural and organic foods, May 2019
          • Consumer confusion may water down value of claims
            • Figure 2: Select statements of natural organic knowledge, May 2019
          • Lack of regulation is a sore spot for natural claims
            • Figure 3: Natural claims should be regulated, by shopper type, May 2019
          • The opportunities
            • Mainstream supermarkets accommodate natural shoppers
              • Figure 4: Preferred shopping locations, May 2019
            • Majority buy at least some natural/organic, could be persuaded to buy more
              • Figure 5: Types of foods or beverages purchased in last year, May 2019
            • Private label offers gateway to organic loyalty
              • Figure 6: Natural/organic store brand products are the same quality as name brands, by age, May 2019
            • Sustainability concerns encourage organic growth
              • Figure 7: Natural/organic foods are safer for the environment than conventional foods, by age, May 2019
            • What it means
            • The Market – What You Need to Know

              • The future is bright for the organic market
                • Natural and organic have fully entered the mainstream
                  • Consumers seeking natural and organic across categories
                    • Not all consumers are convinced when it comes to natural and organic
                      • Price and availability challenge complete loyalty to market
                      • Market Breakdown

                        • Organic market optimistic for fruitful future
                          • Sales increase, but important top categories are fluid
                            • Figure 8: Categories ranked by highest organic dollar sales, 52-week period ending Dec 1, 2018
                          • Natural and organic have fully entered the mainstream
                            • Figure 9: Preferred shopping locations, May 2019
                        • Market Perspective

                          • Not all consumers are convinced when it comes to natural and organic
                            • Figure 10: Types of foods or beverages purchased in last year, May 2019
                          • Organic consumers buying across the aisles
                            • Figure 11: Categories of organic products used by households that use organic foods, 2018
                          • Meat consumers’ concerns bode well for organics
                            • Figure 12: Use of organic meat/poultry in households that use organic foods, 2013 and 2018
                        • Market Factors

                          • Higher prices challenge total loyalty to market
                            • Figure 13: Natural/organic foods should be more affordable, by age, May 2019
                          • Pesticides continue to get bad rep, organics may benefit
                          • Key Players – What You Need to Know

                            • Organic and non-GMO claims on the rise; private label dominating
                              • Certain consumers may never be swayed
                                • Natural claim has image issues
                                  • Biodiversity and sustainability taking organic standards to the next level
                                    • Ethical sourcing and social mission concerns likely to rise
                                    • What’s Working?

                                      • Non-GMO and organic claims continue to rise
                                        • Figure 14: Percentage of food and drink product launches with claims of GMO-free, organic and all-natural product, 2014-18
                                      • Private label brands dominate organic product launches
                                        • Figure 15: Top 10 brands launching highest number of products with organic claims, 2013-18
                                        • Figure 16: Natural/organic store brand products are the same quality as name brands, by age, May 2019
                                        • Figure 17: Product examples from select private label organic brands
                                    • What’s Struggling?

                                      • Certain consumers may never be swayed
                                        • Figure 18: Segmentation by attitudes toward natural and organic foods, May 2019
                                      • Natural claim has image issues
                                        • Figure 19: Natural claims should be regulated, by shopper type, May 2019
                                    • What’s Next?

                                      • New wave of environmental concerns push the market forward
                                        • Figure 20: Influence of biodynamic claims and biodegradable packaging claims, by age, May 2019
                                      • Biodiversity takes organic standards to the next level
                                        • Figure 21: Biodynamic product examples
                                      • More consumers demanding sustainable packaging
                                        • Figure 22: Product examples with biodegradable/compostable packaging
                                      • Ethical sourcing and social mission concerns likely to rise
                                        • Figure 23: Influence of ethical sourcing and social mission claims, by age, May 2019
                                    • The Consumer – What You Need to Know

                                      • Consumers mix mainstream with natural and organic purchases
                                        • Millennials key target for organic
                                          • Mainstream channels are the top destination for natural shoppers
                                            • Consumers could benefit from claims clarification
                                              • Simple ingredients draw the most attention
                                                • Strong consumer opinions create challenges and opportunities
                                                • Shopper Type

                                                  • Consumers are mixing mainstream with natural and organic purchases
                                                    • Figure 24: Types of foods or beverages purchased in last year, May 2019
                                                  • Natural and organic breaking the income barrier
                                                    • Figure 25: Types of foods or beverages purchased in last year, by household income, May 2019
                                                  • Distinct consumer camps present opportunities and barriers
                                                    • Figure 26: Segmentation by attitudes toward natural and organic foods, May 2019
                                                    • Figure 27: Shopper type by attitudinal segments, May 2019
                                                  • Trusting Dabblers need a push to buy more
                                                    • Figure 28: Trusting Dabblers attitudinal segmentation, by select demographics, May 2019
                                                  • To grow the market, Scrutinizing Enthusiasts must be convinced
                                                    • Figure 29: Scrutinizing Enthusiasts attitudinal segmentation, by select demographics, May 2019
                                                  • Older adults most inclined to be Natural Non-believers
                                                    • Figure 30: Natural Non-believers attitudinal segmentation, by select demographics, May 2019
                                                • Shopping Habits

                                                  • Shopping behavior changes
                                                    • Figure 31: Shopping behavior changes compared to one year ago, May 2019
                                                  • Millennials are the current target, Gen Z is next
                                                    • Figure 32: Purchase more natural and organic foods/beverages compared to one year ago, by generation, May 2019
                                                  • Parents show increased natural purchases
                                                    • Figure 33: Purchase more natural foods/beverages compared to one year ago, by parental status, May 2019
                                                • Preferred Shopping Locations

                                                  • Mainstream supermarkets are the top destination for natural shoppers
                                                    • Figure 34: Preferred shopping locations, May 2019
                                                  • Natural and organic shoppers visiting multiple locations
                                                    • Figure 35: Repertoire of preferred shopping locations, May 2019
                                                  • Black and Hispanic consumers more open to online shopping options
                                                    • Figure 36: Preferred shopping locations – Any online (net*), by Hispanic origin and race, May 2019
                                                • Understanding of Natural and Organic Claims

                                                  • Consumers could benefit from clarification of claims
                                                    • Figure 37: Natural organic knowledge, May 2019
                                                    • Figure 38: Understanding of natural and organic claims, by shopper type, May 2019
                                                • Claims of Influence

                                                    • Focusing on emerging concerns can boost the market
                                                      • Figure 39: Claims of influence, May 2019
                                                    • Consumers who buy a mix of products most focused on claims
                                                      • Figure 40: Claims of influence, by shopper type, May 2019
                                                    • Ethical sourcing and social mission concerns likely to rise
                                                      • Figure 41: Influence of ethical sourcing and social mission claims, by age, May 2019
                                                  • Attitudes toward Natural and Organic Food Claims

                                                    • Consumers are critical when it comes to natural and organic
                                                      • Taste, variety and freshness areas of opportunity
                                                        • Figure 42: Attitudes toward natural and organic food claims, May 2019
                                                      • Environmental benefits motivate consumers
                                                        • Figure 43: Natural/organic foods are safer for the environment than conventional foods, by age, May 2019
                                                    • Appendix – Data Sources and Abbreviations

                                                      • Data sources
                                                        • Sales data
                                                          • Consumer survey data
                                                            • Consumer qualitative research
                                                              • Abbreviations and terms
                                                                • Abbreviations
                                                                • Appendix – The Market

                                                                    • Figure 44: Top 10 subcategories for product launches with all-natural and organic label claims, 2014-18
                                                                    • Figure 45: Poultry claims of importance, September 2018
                                                                    • Figure 46: Red meat claims of importance, January 2019
                                                                    • Figure 47: Use of organic fruits and vegetables by households that use fresh produce, Fall 2018
                                                                    • Figure 48: Use of organic eggs used by households that use eggs, 2013-18
                                                                    • Figure 49: Use of organic milk by households that use organic foods, 2018
                                                                • Appendix – The Consumer

                                                                  • TURF Analysis
                                                                      • Figure 50: TURF Analysis – Other influential claims, May 2019

                                                                  This market report provides in-depth analysis and insight supported by a range of data. At the same time, introductory and top-level content is provided to give you an overview of the issues covered.

                                                                  • Market

                                                                    Mintel provides a range of market information, frequently through the category level, including market size and forecasting, complete with market drivers that illustrate the forces that shape a category or market.

                                                                  • Consumer

                                                                    Mintel's proprietary consumer research provides our analysts with the attitudinal and behavioral data used to provide valuable insight to topical issues.

                                                                  • Brand/Company

                                                                    Mintel provides overviews of the top brands and manufacturers, and uses consumer research to explore attitudes and reactions to brands, as well as insight into what will resonate with consumers.

                                                                  • Data

                                                                    Market reports provide appendices of data to support the research and insight produced. Our tables of data are easily manipulated and downloadable to support your research needs and covers factors from consumer attitudes to market forecasts.

                                                                  Please Note: This is a sample report. All of the figures, graphs, and tables have been redacted.

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